أصدرت شعبة الذهب والمعادن الثمينة باتحاد الصناعات المصرية، برئاسة إيهاب واصف، تقريرها السنوي حول أداء سوق الذهب خلال عام 2025، والذي عكس عاما استثنائيا بكل المقاييس، بعدما سجل المعدن النفيس قفزات تاريخية على المستويين العالمي والمحلي، وعزز مكانته كأحد أهم الأصول الآمنة و وعاء ادخاري رئيسي في فترات عدم اليقين الاقتصادي.
عام استثنائي للأونصة العالمية
أنهى الذهب العالمي عام 2025 بأداء غير مسبوق، بعدما ارتفعت أسعار الأونصة بنحو 70% على مدار العام، مدفوعة بتصاعد التوترات الجيوسياسية، واستمرار الضغوط التضخمية، إلى جانب زيادة التوقعات بشأن توجه البنوك المركزية الكبرى نحو خفض أسعار الفائدة.
وبحسب تقرير شعبة الذهب والمعادن، بدأ الذهب تداولاته في يناير عند مستوى 2624 دولارا للأونصة، ثم سجل صعودا تدريجيا خلال الربع الاول من العام، ليغلق شهر مارس عند 3089.58 دولار. ومع حلول شهر ابريل، تسارع الزخم الصعودي ليصل السعر إلى 3348.31 دولار، قبل أن تدخل السوق مرحلة تصحيح محدودة خلال شهري مايو ويونيو دون أن يغير ذلك الاتجاه العام الصاعد.
النصف الثاني من 2025
مع انطلاق النصف الثاني من العام، عزز الذهب مكاسبه بدعم من تزايد الطلب على الملاذات الآمنة في ظل تصاعد المخاطر العالمية. وبعد ارتفاعات متتالية خلال شهري يوليو أغسطس، قفز السعر في سبتمبر إلى 3833.11 دولار للأونصة.
وفي شهر اكتوبر، نجح الذهب في كسر حاجز 4000 دولار للأونصة لأول مرة في تاريخه، في خطوة عكست تحولا واضحا في شهية المستثمرين عالميا. واستمرت موجة الصعود حتى بلغت ذروتها في ديسمبر، بعدما سجلت الأونصة مستوى قياسيا غير مسبوق عند 4549.98 دولار، قبل أن تنهي العام قرب مستوى 4331 دولارا، مؤكدة تصدر الذهب لقائمة الأصول الأعلى أداء خلال 2025.
طفرة غير مسبوقة في الصاغة
أكدت شعبة الذهب والمعادن الثمينة أن السوق المحلية شهدت خلال عام 2025 واحدة من أكبر الطفرات السعرية في تاريخها، حيث تجاوز معدل الارتفاع الإجمالي 60% مقارنة ببداية العام، بدعم من الصعود القوي للأسعار العالمية، إلى جانب تغيرات سعر الصرف وزيادة الطلب المحلي على الذهب كأداة للتحوط وحفظ القيمة.
وأوضح التقرير أن متوسط سعر جرام الذهب عيار 21 سجل أعلى مستوياته على الاطلاق في تاريخ سوق الصاغة المصرية، ما يعكس تحولا واضحا في سلوك المستهلكين والمستثمرين تجاه الذهب.
من يناير إلى ذروة ديسمبر 2025
وبحسب تسلسل الحركة السعرية، افتتح الذهب عام 2025 عند متوسط 3730 جنيها للجرام في يناير، ثم تحرك في مسار صاعد مع تذبذبات محدودة، ليقترب من مستوى 4900 جنيه خلال شهري يونيو و سبتمبر.
ومع دخول الربع الاخير من العام، تسارعت وتيرة الارتفاعات بشكل لافت، حيث سجل شهر اكتوبر 5625 جنيها للجرام، قبل أن يختتم الذهب تعاملات ديسمبر عند ذروته التاريخية مسجلا 5965 جنيها لجرام عيار 21، ليؤكد استمرار الاتجاه الصعودي على مدار الاثني عشر شهرا.
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